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NASA Flag Bearer Dilemma

Hopes ran high among NASA supporters when the co-principals met at Vipingo Ridge in Kilifi last Sunday in a bid to iron out NASA presidential candidate selection. To their disappointment, no flag bearer was selected and now the supporters have to celebrate Easter holidays in suspense.

Wiper party leader Kalonzo Musyoka urged supporters to remain patient as the meeting did not yield any tangible results but there was progress in the flag bearer selection.

Debate has been raging among the voting population and many have settled on Raila –Kalonzo combination as the best duo to give Uhuru a run for his money. The rationality behind the above stated combination may be from past performance of the respective candidates and the national clout that they carry.

I would go out on a limb here and explain why the above stated combination may lead to a close shave for Uhuru but not a defeat. “A change is as good as a rest.” This statement sums up why Raila- Kalonzo combination would be monotonous. The status quo in the voting population would largely remain the same. 2017 general elections would be a replica of 2012 elections; Uhuru winning with a thin margin.

Also Read: Kisumu in Turmoil: Political and Economical Misunderstanding

What NASA needs to do is throw a spanner in the works to change the status quo and leave the voting population in a dilemma. For this to happen, the best combination would be Musalia Mudavadi for president and Kalonzo Musyoka for vice president. Elaboration on the stated combination would be necessary for consensus to ensue.

Raila Odinga has the most national clout among the four co-principles hence it would be rational to place him as best fit to be the flag bearer. The only drawback is that he also has substantial stigma that accompanies the clout. Apart from having lost twice before, he is part of the ruling elite that have been ruling since independence. Kenyans are tired of old dogs with no new tricks and as much as Raila has his voting population intact, he has no power to sway Jubilee voters. It would be more beneficial for him to back a candidate since his followers would remain loyal to whoever he chooses. He should be the puppeteer that pulls the strings of the presidential candidate.

Musalia Mudavadi is the flag bearer choice that may bring this win home for NASA. First, giving him the presidential seat would consolidate the Luhya vote. Then he has minimal stigma and may be accepted by the disgruntled Jubilee voters as a neutral choice. Lest you forget, Musalia Mudavadi was to be the running mate of Uhuru Kenyatta in 2012 before Uhurutto combination came into play. He has the best requisite to portray new leadership change for the country.

Also Read: Emotional Politics vs Rational Politics

Why Kalonzo Musyoka for vice president? First, this guy does not portray an air of confidence to be the president of Kenya. His past political decisions place him as an indecisive weak leader who cannot stand on one side through thick and thin. He is better suited to have someone above him with an iron fist. Selection of Raila Odinga as vice president would be a low blow; he is greater than that period.

Last but not least, Moses Wetang’ula, the cog in the NASA wheel. He is eating from the same pot with Musalia Mudavadi hence creating no additional benefit to the group. He is a necessary evil that NASA has to bear to seem united. He is neither suited to be the flag bearer nor the running mate and should be glad he is part of the team.

In the words of the politician and philosopher, Nicolo Machiavelli, “To understand the nature of the people one must be a prince, and to understand the nature of the prince, one must be of the people.” We are the people and its is in our nature to contemplate an understanding of the leaders hence NASA co-principals would be more prudent to seek opinions of the people rather than relying on their understanding to choose a flag bearer.

Also Read: The Strategic Mistake that Halted Raila’s Presidential Bid

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Posted by Timothy II Aperit

True believer in numbers. Statistics never lie. Bsc Financial Engineering MBA Finance ACCA